Apr 28, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Apr 28 16:56:02 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20110428 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20110428 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 281654
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1154 AM CDT THU APR 28 2011
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SOUTH AND CNTRL FLORIDA...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OH AND TN VALLEYS WILL MOVE ACROSS
   THE ERN SEABOARD FRIDAY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
   MOVE SWD FROM CNTRL FL SWD INTO SOUTH FL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
   LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND
   SFC HEATING SHOULD ALLOW SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP
   AROUND MIDDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z ON THE BOUNDARY NEAR LAKE
   OKEECHOBEE SHOW 30 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
   SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S F. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL
   WIND DAMAGE THREAT ESPECIALLY AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME
   STEEPEST DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 04/28/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z