Oct 28, 2011 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 28 05:44:27 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20111028 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20111028 0600 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 280520
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1220 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION...
   A RELATIVELY DRY PATTERN WILL PERSIST ON SAT WITH A NWLY FLOW REGIME
   ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS. ONE STRONG TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS
   THE ERN GREAT LAKES WITH BASAL JET MAX INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS
   DURING THE DAY. VERY COOL AIR ALOFT OVER THE GREAT LAKES VICINITY
   MAY RESULT IN WEAK LAKE INDUCED CONVECTION.
   
   LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OFFSHORE THE ATLANTIC COAST IN RESPONSE TO
   THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH...AND A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL SWWD
   ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA. HERE...LIFT ALONG THE FRONT WILL
   ACTIVATE STORMS WITH MAINLY JUST A RAIN THREAT. WHILE SOME LOW LEVEL
   VEERING OF THE WINDS WILL EXIST...OVERALL SHEAR PROFILES COMBINED
   WITH TROPICAL LAPSE RATES SHOULD NOT SUPPORT ANY TYPE OF SEVERE.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/28/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z