Nov 8, 2011 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 8 06:09:07 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20111108 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20111108 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 080607
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1207 AM CST TUE NOV 08 2011
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH POTENT JETLET WILL MOVE RAPIDLY FROM THE MID
   MS VALLEY NEWD ACROSS LOWER MI DURING THE DAY. AN ATTENDANT SURFACE
   LOW WILL MIGRATE FROM NRN IL INTO SRN ONTARIO BY EVENING...WITH A
   COLD FRONT TRAILING SWD OVER LOWER MI...WRN OH AND INTO MIDDLE TN BY
   00Z. TO THE W...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN COOL
   AND DRY WEATHER FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE ROCKIES.
   
   ...OH/TN VALLEY REGION...
   RAIN SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING NEAR THE
   COLD FRONT EARLY WED FROM LOWER MI TO THE GULF COAST. FORCING FOR
   ASCENT WILL BE STRONGEST NEAR THE SURFACE LOW...AND WILL LIFT NEWD
   THROUGH THE DAY. A GENERALLY DRY AIR MASS CURRENTLY RESIDES OVER THE
   ERN U.S...AND AS SUCH ONLY A NARROW AXIS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
   EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AN AXIS OF LOW TO PERHAPS MID 50S
   F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL YIELD VERY WEAK INSTABILITY...WITH UP TO
   500 J/KG MUCAPE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST. CAPE MAY BE NEAR ZERO N
   OF THE OH RIVER. DESPITE STRONG SHEAR AND FORCING...INSTABILITY WILL
   BE A DECIDEDLY LIMITING FACTOR FOR SEVERE ON WED.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/08/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z