SPC AC 291719
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CST TUE NOV 29 2011
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP/CLOSED LOW CENTERED THIS MORNING OVER THE TN/OH VALLEYS WILL
EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE ON WEDNESDAY...WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS NEWD
FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE NERN STATES AND SRN QUEBEC.
A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE PERIOD MAINLY ACROSS PARTS
OF MAINE...WHILE NO TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE
CONUS.
...MAINE...
SLY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FEED OFF THE ATLANTIC AND WAA WITHIN THE E/NE
PERIPHERY OF THE OPENING LOW WILL BE SUPPORTING ONGOING CONVECTION
AT 12Z WEDNESDAY ACROSS ERN NEW ENGLAND. THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
TSTMS WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS PARTS OF MAINE THROUGH ABOUT 18Z...
GIVEN FORECAST DESTABILIZATION AS MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES COOL ATOP
LOW LEVEL WAA. EQUILIBRIUM TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR
CHARGE SEPARATION...THOUGH WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /MUCAPE 100-150
J PER KG/ SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL TSTM COVERAGE.
..PETERS.. 11/29/2011
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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