Nov 29, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 29 17:21:08 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20111129 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20111129 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 291719
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1119 AM CST TUE NOV 29 2011
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A DEEP/CLOSED LOW CENTERED THIS MORNING OVER THE TN/OH VALLEYS WILL
   EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE ON WEDNESDAY...WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS NEWD
   FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE NERN STATES AND SRN QUEBEC. 
   A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE PERIOD MAINLY ACROSS PARTS
   OF MAINE...WHILE NO TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE
   CONUS.
   
   ...MAINE...
   SLY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FEED OFF THE ATLANTIC AND WAA WITHIN THE E/NE
   PERIPHERY OF THE OPENING LOW WILL BE SUPPORTING ONGOING CONVECTION
   AT 12Z WEDNESDAY ACROSS ERN NEW ENGLAND.  THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
   TSTMS WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS PARTS OF MAINE THROUGH ABOUT 18Z...
   GIVEN FORECAST DESTABILIZATION AS MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES COOL ATOP
   LOW LEVEL WAA.  EQUILIBRIUM TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR
   CHARGE SEPARATION...THOUGH WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /MUCAPE 100-150
   J PER KG/ SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL TSTM COVERAGE.
   
   ..PETERS.. 11/29/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z