Nov 30, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 30 16:52:05 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20111130 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20111130 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 301649
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1049 AM CST WED NOV 30 2011
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SWRN STATES...
   
   POSITIVELY TILT TROUGH DROPPING SWD TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN AREA IS
   FORECAST TO CUTOFF OVER AZ/SRN CA. STEEP LAPSE RATES NEAR UPPER LOW
   CORE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK INSTABILITY. SHALLOW CONVECTION WILL
   LIKELY DEVELOP WITHIN EXIT REGION OF CYCLONIC UPPER JET AND NEAR
   DEFORMATION AXIS/UPSLOPE REGIME OVER NRN AZ. THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
   MAY BECOME AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING
   STRIKES.
   
   ...ELSEWHERE...
   
   RECENT INTRUSION OF CP AIR ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
   SERN STATES WILL PROMOTE STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ERN TWO THIRDS
   OF THE COUNTRY.
   
   ..DIAL.. 11/30/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z