Nov 7, 2011 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 7 07:55:06 UTC 2011
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20111107 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20111107 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 070752
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0152 AM CST MON NOV 07 2011
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A POTENT UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE RAPIDLY NEWD FROM
   IL/WI AT 12Z ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE DAY WHILE A SURFACE
   LOW MOVES FROM LOWER MI INTO ERN ONTARIO BY 00Z. A TRAILING COLD
   FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIE ROUGHLY FROM ERN OH INTO ERN KY AND TN AT
   THAT TIME AS WELL. FORCED RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE PRESENT ALONG THE
   COLD FRONT BUT WITH ONLY LOWER 50S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS
   PRESENT AND ONLY SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES...LITTLE IF ANY
   INSTABILITY IS ANTICIPATED. AS SUCH...NO SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED
   BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY FRONTAL PASSAGE. ELSEWHERE...A
   SPRAWLING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS EJECTING
   SYSTEM...WITH DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF THE REST OF THE
   CONUS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/07/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z