DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0119 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013 VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38519700 41609415 42419384 43749388 44199484 44299629 45719661 46699421 47069242 47068892 46008488 44758376 43378276 42088309 40808468 39378555 36098906 33719310 31889743 29909937 30460061 32230039 33739972 36639906 38519700 0.05 39418792 36718942 35679109 34029423 33059696 31839841 31909939 32559982 36279855 38769633 41539359 43059234 45269231 45929056 45508685 43738459 42008485 40418646 39418792 0.10 39829258 39589077 38159061 36419145 35289314 34319536 33259712 33209845 34829858 36179790 37739541 39829258 SIGN 34759543 33459708 33849835 34909821 36149760 37219578 37429459 36499377 35429393 34759543 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29560197 33339986 34629953 35769934 36019995 36420025 36910038 37319984 38569771 39979645 42299487 44139454 45369468 46359408 47169280 47708924 48168673 0.05 30338424 32188557 34618551 36428415 36558151 36218034 35217965 33527985 32248077 30368166 30338424 0.05 42458154 38988518 33089328 31859689 30049907 28160059 0.15 42618235 39288566 36558991 33209455 32319704 30409894 30910022 32010006 36099867 39569557 42109309 43169272 44849361 45879336 46589193 46188741 45398414 45578174 0.30 42259136 42248993 40858881 38009112 36379180 35049320 33559547 33049621 32549768 32169865 32549918 32909944 35489835 36909744 38549556 40829359 42259136 0.45 35809764 37169504 37029400 35489376 34739451 33989611 33159736 33209841 33819851 34939829 35809764 SIGN 35229399 33919582 33259660 32219724 30309905 30950015 32429989 35859866 37789709 38409570 38339445 37239337 35929360 35229399 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42558058 39048283 36388326 35848171 34778034 33767955 32267936 99999999 29138536 31418602 32948604 35898545 36948644 36158911 32809314 31859735 30419871 30449981 30700051 31410068 33749968 36229906 37609802 39649622 41699457 43199426 45099476 47119324 47318993 47848630 0.15 42808218 39278562 35899057 34089246 33409305 32969533 32189736 33119917 34479915 36029863 40549469 42349287 43449281 44809356 45919330 46589215 46198746 45288418 45558201 0.30 41569135 41258912 40328829 38738883 36739044 35289209 33599514 33899717 34809746 35869624 37239517 41569135 0.45 37849354 38019259 37699188 36219208 35259322 34649454 35719552 36649502 37849354 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 35769764 37809372 38029260 37719194 36189208 35209332 33799626 33109732 33119841 33509863 34969830 35769764 SLGT 42648229 39158579 36658963 33369309 32909545 32229716 30379904 30910022 31810009 36029867 37889714 42139304 43109275 44849361 45919341 46589187 46168757 45298401 45508214 TSTM 36568708 35368980 34229121 33229141 32379048 32348929 32498803 32768664 34038599 35528572 36458627 36568708 TSTM 29770215 32010080 33869978 34659982 35370159 35900438 36460761 37120905 37981135 40191253 42541363 43911493 44951513 46261515 49391719 TSTM 49421052 46820950 45500936 44420924 41910805 40570622 40090206 40060097 40959901 41729815 42999740 44349917 45130007 45990016 46449969 47209818 47679707 48699248 TSTM 45007537 44197089 43376874 TSTM 29798666 30748730 30848902 30338979 29609027 29529122 29859291 31309376 32019473 32169543 31719681 30629803 29519924 28030004 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N OKC 45 NNW SGF 30 NW TBN 10 ESE TBN 20 E FLP 15 WSW RUE 15 SE DUA 20 N FTW 30 NW MWL 35 SSW SPS 20 WSW CHK 25 N OKC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MTC 45 E BMG 40 S CGI 20 WNW ELD 40 N TYR 40 N ACT 45 ESE JCT 35 SSE SJT 40 NE SJT 45 WSW END 25 NE ICT 45 SW ALO 30 E MCW 20 W MSP 40 NE STC 25 SE DLH 25 S MQT 25 NW APN 75 ENE APN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E CKV 25 NNE MEM 40 E PBF 30 SW GLH 25 W JAN 30 W MEI 45 ENE MEI 35 NE SEM GAD 45 NW CHA 30 NE BNA 20 E CKV. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S 6R6 45 ESE BGS 50 SE CDS 30 ENE CDS 15 NE AMA 45 ENE LVS 40 ESE FMN 25 WSW CEZ 45 SW 4HV 20 E DPG BYI 40 NW SUN 50 E MYL 25 ENE P69 125 N GEG. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNW HVR 15 S LWT 45 WSW BIL 15 WSW COD 45 W RWL 60 SSW LAR 40 SW IML 25 WSW MCK 15 N EAR 40 WSW OFK YKN 40 N 9V9 35 SSE MBG 35 NNE MBG 55 ESE BIS 30 NE JMS 20 SSE GFK 45 ENE INL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW MSS 20 ESE MWN 75 SSW BHB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE PNS 20 NNW PNS 30 N GPT ASD 25 E HUM 35 W HUM 25 SE LCH 40 WNW POE 25 S GGG 15 S TYR 25 ENE ACT 30 NW AUS 10 NNW HDO 50 NW LRD.