DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1120 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013 VALID TIME 231630Z - 241200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37310174 35529780 33999700 32679776 31759993 31720174 33540251 35110362 36710359 37150287 37310174 0.02 44587208 43937123 42897197 41257343 40517465 41267622 42467576 43327555 44347362 44587208 0.05 36830252 36580107 35509880 34339826 33279845 32159983 32270152 33880225 35460325 36460325 36830252 0.10 32829959 32670028 32750135 34010158 35270176 35790077 35439945 33939880 32829959 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 47856955 44976987 42647158 37187683 36607911 36727978 37048102 38538090 40867879 44487627 0.05 44750955 46161029 47440925 48310890 47790621 44610440 42930375 41420429 41380565 41130746 42660809 43130897 43550960 44750955 0.05 38730340 37320232 36920023 34539737 33399326 32649161 30778994 30079175 30499466 31399693 31319879 30070067 29930217 31390346 32660378 33880357 36160478 37670485 38480449 38730340 0.15 36770134 35519887 34629786 34199720 33099422 31839422 31659580 32239812 32129979 32280166 33530251 35510334 36490326 36870253 36770134 0.30 36310127 35409942 33939880 32869954 32640024 32750133 33890225 35020248 36060240 36310127 0.45 35040063 34839935 34009895 33069971 33000084 33400147 34890135 35040063 SIGN 36640222 36630131 35489879 34259831 33419862 32410024 32520144 33480246 35470316 36260303 36640222 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33707731 32838148 33108317 33798405 34968393 38538146 42157869 45357614 0.05 33849555 33419341 32669163 30718994 30049170 30489458 31389692 31309897 30010082 29900234 31430354 32700375 33770361 36140477 37610494 38540443 38730355 37330253 36910039 35509852 34669760 33849555 0.05 46480943 46470815 45300673 44020581 42660549 41850667 41810711 42850825 43480958 44960971 45851016 46480943 0.15 36940173 36650038 35909930 34709807 34129699 33149422 31929424 31659570 31789682 32199809 32110026 31440218 32420311 34360350 35550335 36460325 36800247 36940173 0.15 44207179 43007184 39447560 37337716 36737924 37218068 37288091 38518062 42027758 42917642 44517466 45017263 44207179 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 34870134 35040071 34819935 33999895 33069971 33030084 33420147 34870134 SLGT 44527458 44987266 44197174 42997190 41227377 39507560 37307715 36717915 37258095 38568060 39937949 41877773 42977635 44527458 SLGT 36970173 36700039 35979930 34739828 34179706 33909617 33179428 31929421 31629578 31829686 32129776 32239838 32110027 31480220 32430314 34430349 36460325 36840248 36970173 TSTM 31300631 33010612 34770605 36710635 38950715 40080832 40830910 41240956 41560985 41941022 42311125 43301237 43941336 44961362 46431268 49311120 99999999 49411708 46771586 44671623 43621978 43842098 45242228 46892297 49212249 99999999 49290463 47210478 46430463 45100385 44110332 43510237 42650082 41409946 39619756 38699682 37079447 36449283 36139191 35949125 36039021 36168946 36338878 36518831 36998765 37638711 38348663 39578592 40148515 40878446 42078264 99999999 29048402 29908414 30928477 31048681 30398737 29698777 99999999 28799443 29609551 29689738 29219945 28630092 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE AMA 50 NNW CDS 10 NNW LTS 25 W SPS 45 N ABI 70 NE BGS 25 SE LBB 30 SE AMA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SLK 20 WNW EFK 25 WSW MWN 20 ENE EEN 30 S POU 15 S ILG 15 SSE RIC 15 NE DAN 15 ESE BLF 45 WSW EKN 25 S LBE 45 E BFD 15 SW SYR 20 WNW SLK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE EHA 40 SE LBL 35 SE GAG 10 NE FSI 10 SSW ADM 15 ESE DUA 25 SW TXK 45 SSW SHV 45 SE CRS 25 ENE ACT 25 ESE SEP 10 W SEP 40 WSW ABI 35 S MAF 20 SSE HOB 10 WNW CVS CAO 30 SSE SPD 10 ESE EHA. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S ELP 10 N ALM 35 ESE ABQ 55 SSW ALS 25 SW ASE 50 SW CAG 35 NE VEL 35 SW RKS 40 W RKS 45 S BPI 55 E MLD 20 SW IDA 55 ENE SUN 15 SE SMN 30 SE 3DU 70 NE CTB ...CONT... 125 N GEG 45 NNW P69 15 SSW MYL 40 W BNO 30 SSE RDM 30 SSE PDX OLM 30 N BLI ...CONT... 90 NNW ISN GDV 20 WNW BHK 35 SSW 2WX 15 WNW RAP 50 SE RAP 20 SW VTN 10 ESE BBW CNK 30 SSW MHK JLN 20 ENE HRO 30 E FLP 20 SW ARG 30 ENE JBR 10 NNW DYR 40 ENE DYR 45 SSE PAH 25 NNW HOP OWB 50 WNW SDF 20 ESE IND 15 ESE MIE 40 E FWA 40 ESE DTW ...CONT... 70 SW CTY 35 SSE TLH 25 ENE MAI 25 NW CEW 15 WSW PNS 65 SSW PNS ...CONT... 40 SSE GLS 15 WSW HOU 40 E BAZ 20 WSW HDO 50 S DRT.