Jan 2, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 2 00:37:30 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130102 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20130102 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20130102 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20130102 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 020033
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0633 PM CST TUE JAN 01 2013
   
   VALID 020100Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...GULF COAST REGION...
   CONVECTION WILL PERSIST TONIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES
   NEAR AN EASTWARD-ADVANCING FRONT. HOWEVER...THE POST-FRONTAL NATURE
   OF THE CONVECTION AND WEAK LAPSE RATES/SCANT INSTABILITY NOTED IN
   00Z OBSERVED REGIONAL SOUNDINGS WILL KEEP ANY TSTM POTENTIAL VERY
   LOW /SUB-10 PERCENT/. 
   
   OTHERWISE...NO TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/02/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z