| Categorical Graphic |
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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 021938 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0138 PM CST WED JAN 02 2013 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. ..JEWELL.. 01/02/2013 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1012 AM CST WED JAN 02 2013/ ...SYNOPSIS... POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CNTRL ONTARIO SWWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND INTO THE CNTRL/NRN PLAINS. A CLOSED LOW...CURRENTLY PHASED WITH THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH...EXISTS JUST OFF THE NRN BAJA PENINSULA. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD AS A STRONG UPPER RIDGE PROGRESSES EWD OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...RESULTING IN AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN OVER THE WRN CONUS BY THE END OF PERIOD. DEEP SWLY FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED FROM THE SWRN STATES TO THE ATLANTIC COAST. AT THE SURFACE...COOL TEMPERATURES AND MEAGER MOISTURE BENEATH AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE COVER MOST OF THE COUNTRY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TX COASTAL BEND AND SRN LA AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES NEWD IN THE SWLY FLOW ALOFT. A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SE GA AND NRN FL. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY OVER BOTH AREAS WILL BE LIMITED BY RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND NO TSTMS ARE EXPECTED. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z