| Categorical Graphic |
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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 090047 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0647 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013 VALID 090100Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TX AND THE TX COASTAL PLAIN... ...PARTS OF CENTRAL TX AND THE TX COASTAL PLAIN... AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY ESEWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO JUST S AND W OF THE TX BIG BEND...WITH THIS MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY AREA...WHERE INCREASING QG FORCING FOR ASCENT IS ONGOING. EVENING RAOBS -- EVEN FROM COASTAL AREAS WHERE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EVIDENT -- REVEAL THAT INSTABILITY IS VERY LIMITED AND THAT STORMS REMAIN ELEVATED...AND THUS LITTLE SEVERE THREAT EXISTS ATTM. HOWEVER...WITH CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL MOIST ADVECTION...AMPLE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH TIME SUCH THAT SURFACE-BASED SEVERE THREAT -- INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO OR TWO -- MAY EVOLVE. WITH SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING STORMS...MAINTAINING SLIGHT RISK APPEARS WARRANTED ATTM...PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS E OF A SSW-NNE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM ROUGHLY LRD /LAREDO TX/ TO LFK /LUFKIN TX/. ..GOSS.. 01/09/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z