Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 100048
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0648 PM CST WED JAN 09 2013
   
   VALID 100100Z - 101200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF COASTAL LA...
   
   ...SERN LA...
   
   LINE OF STORMS PERSISTS ALONG WARM CONVEYOR BELT FROM NCNTRL INTO
   SWRN LA AND THE NWRN GULF. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   EWD...BUT TREND HAS BEEN FOR THE LINE TO DECELERATE. AT THE SFC A
   QUASISTATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST INLAND OF THE COAST ACROSS
   SERN LA...WWD TO WHERE IT INTERSECTS THE CONVECTIVE LINE IN SWRN LA.
   WINDS ARE BACKED TO ELY NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT RESULTING IN
   LARGE HODOGRAPHS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SCNTRL AND SWRN LA IN CLOSER
   PROXIMITY TO THE LLJ. INSTABILITY REMAINS WEAK WITH MLCAPE AOB 500
   J/KG MAINLY CONFINED TO THE LA COAST. RADAR DATA SHOW A FEW EMBEDDED
   QLCS MESO-VORTICES MOVING ONTO THE SWRN LA COAST...AND THIS ACTIVITY
   MAY POSE AT LEAST A MODEST THREAT FOR A TORNADO OR TWO AS IT MOVES
   INLAND AND INTERACTS WITH QUASISTATIONARY FRONT THIS EVENING. HAVE
   INCLUDED A SMALL SLIGHT RISK TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO.
   
   OTHERWISE...TENDENCY WILL BE FOR THE LLJ TO GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTH OF
   THE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR LATER TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW
   LIFTS NWD THROUGH TX. REF SWOMCD 04 FOR MORE INFORMATION.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/10/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z