Oct 21, 2013 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |||||||||
Updated: Mon Oct 21 16:15:40 UTC 2013 ( | ) | |||||||||
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic | |||||||||
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 211612 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1112 AM CDT MON OCT 21 2013 VALID 211630Z - 221200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD OVER PARTS OF OK/TX/AR/LA...FL...AND THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. WEAK CAPE IN THE GREAT LAKES AREA...AND WEAK SHEAR IN FL/SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPRESS SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE STORMS TODAY. ..HART.. 10/21/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |