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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 031535 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0935 AM CST SUN NOV 03 2013 VALID 031630Z - 041200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE CNTRL/NRN PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THOUGH AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM ID/WY INTO WRN NEB...A DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL PRECLUDE STORM COVERAGE SUFFICIENT FOR A CATEGORICAL THUNDER DELINEATION. ELSEWHERE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL AID IN MAINTAINING A STABLE ENVIRONMENT E OF THE MS RIVER. MEANWHILE...BOUNDARY LAYER AND SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD NWD INTO TX AND SRN AZ/NM IN RESPONSE TO LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING OVER THE WRN CONUS. DESPITE THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ..GARNER.. 11/03/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |
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