Nov 8, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 8 00:37:43 UTC 2013 (20131108 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20131108 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131108 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20131108 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20131108 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20131108 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080031

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0631 PM CST THU NOV 07 2013

   VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...NRN ROCKIES...
   SHOWERS WITH A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE
   EVENING HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/NRN ID AND EXTREME SE WA/NE ORE
   AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE
   AREA OVERNIGHT. COVERAGE WILL REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY
   AND MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. BUT COLD TEMPS ALOFT AND FORCING
   FOR ASCENT AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR A FEW
   STRIKES. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

   ..LEITMAN/DIAL.. 11/08/2013

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z