Nov 24, 2013 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |||||||||
Updated: Sun Nov 24 19:52:38 UTC 2013 ( | ) | |||||||||
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic | |||||||||
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 241949 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0149 PM CST SUN NOV 24 2013 VALID 242000Z - 251200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...DISCUSSION... ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS PREVAILING OVER THE U.S. LARGELY MITIGATING APPRECIABLE THUNDER RISK IN MOST AREAS. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND S TX AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING UPPER LOW...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED THROUGH THE PERIOD. ..GOSS.. 11/24/2013 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013/ BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE EASTERN STATES...WITH A CUTOFF LOW AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WEAK WARM ADVECTION AND MARGINAL CAPE VALUES WILL POSE A RISK OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL TX. ALSO...AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MIGHT AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTH FL THIS AFTERNOON. BUT OTHERWISE...NO ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TODAY. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z |