Nov 30, 2013 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 30 12:25:39 UTC 2013 (20131130 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20131130 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131130 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20131130 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20131130 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20131130 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 301221

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0621 AM CST SAT NOV 30 2013

   VALID 301300Z - 011200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   A QUASI-ZONAL LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS THROUGH
   TONIGHT...WITH A DEGREE OF AMPLIFICATION OCCURRING OVER ONTARIO AND
   THE GREAT LAKES REGION VIA A SOUTHEASTWARD-DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
   A NIL TSTM POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS GIVEN THE
   WIDESPREAD PREVALENCE OF COLD/DRY CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES AND
   STABLE CONDITIONS. WHILE SOME SHOWERS MAY OCCUR NEAR EAST COASTAL
   PORTIONS OF FL/GA TODAY...BROAD SUBSIDENCE AND AN ASSOCIATED
   MID-LEVEL INVERSION WILL LIKELY KEEP ANY TSTM POTENTIAL WELL
   OFFSHORE IN THE ATLANTIC.

   ..GUYER/GARNER.. 11/30/2013

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z