Dec 27, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 27 01:05:45 UTC 2013 (20131227 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20131227 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131227 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20131227 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20131227 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20131227 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270100

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0700 PM CST THU DEC 26 2013

   VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT IS PRESENT THIS EVENING OVER THE EASTERN
   UNITED STATES...WITH AN UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST.  SCATTERED
   SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTH TX AND SOUTH
   FL...WHERE SUFFICIENT LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND MARGINAL
   INSTABILITY ARE PRESENT FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION.  HOWEVER...LIMITED
   FORCING AND/OR DEEP CAPE WILL PRECLUDE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS IN
   THESE AREAS OVERNIGHT.

   OTHERWISE...DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS
   FORECAST.

   ..HART/SMITH.. 12/27/2013

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z