Jan 16, 2013 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 16 06:54:46 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130116 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20130116 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 160652
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1252 AM CST WED JAN 16 2013
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A CLOSED LOW ALOFT INITIALLY INVOF THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION EARLY
   IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS STEADILY EWD ACROSS THE SERN U.S. WITH
   TIME...MOVING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH THE LATTER STAGES OF
   THE PERIOD.  THIS FEATURE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ABSORBED INTO THE
   LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE ERN U.S./WRN ATLANTIC...ON THE
   SRN FRINGE OF A LARGE POLAR VORTEX INVOF HUDSON BAY.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...FRONTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT IS FORECAST TO BE UNDERWAY
   INVOF GA/SC...WITH THE LOW SHIFTING EWD OFF THE COASTAL CAROLINAS BY
   EARLY EVENING.  HOWEVER...THE WARM SECTOR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW
   IS FORECAST TO REMAIN TOO STABLE TO SUPPORT APPRECIABLE DEEP
   CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...AND THUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED --
   HERE...OR ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE U.S. -- THROUGH THE DAY 2
   PERIOD.
   
   ..GOSS.. 01/16/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z