Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 161640
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1040 AM CST SAT FEB 16 2013
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE FLOW OF MODEST AMPLITUDE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
   WEEKEND ACROSS THE CONUS. AS A DEEP MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS
   THE EAST COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...A COLD AND DRY SURFACE AIRMASS WILL
   CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST AND SOUTHEAST FROM THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST TO
   THE NORTHERN GULF AND FL. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
   AIRMASS WILL DEVELOP INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC AREAS ON
   SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGS
   SOUTHEASTWARD AND AMPLIFIES FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO FOUR CORNERS
   REGION PER LATEST GFS THROUGH 48H.
   
   DESPITE AN INCREASE IN DYNAMIC ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
   APPROACHING WESTERN U.S. TROUGH...AND THE COMMENCEMENT OF MODEST
   RETURN FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION FROM EAST TX ACROSS THE ARKLATEX LATE
   IN THE DAY 2 PERIOD...INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO MEAGER
   TO SUPPORT TSTM FORMATION OVER LAND AREAS.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 02/16/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z