Nov 22, 2013 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 22 06:41:51 UTC 2013 (20131122 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20131122 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131122 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20131122 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 220638

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1238 AM CST FRI NOV 22 2013

   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A DRY AIR MASS IN THE WAKE OF A POLAR FRONT WILL ENCOMPASS MOST OF
   THE CONUS AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE NRN
   PLAINS. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BECOME POSITIONED ACROSS THE
   ERN GULF COAST INTO THE SERN ATLANTIC. WEAK FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND
   VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL HINDER CONVECTIVE
   POTENTIAL...ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. ACROSS
   THE SOUTHWEST...A LARGE CLOSED LOW WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE EWD INTO AZ
   BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH COLDER MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES. LAKE EFFECT BANDS MAY
   DEVELOP WITHIN A WLY AND NWLY DEEP-LAYER FLOW REGIME ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE GREAT LAKES...WITH SOME EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE.

   ..ROGERS.. 11/22/2013

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z