Nov 23, 2013 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 23 16:41:52 UTC 2013 (20131123 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20131123 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131123 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20131123 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 231639

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1039 AM CST SAT NOV 23 2013

   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SPLIT-FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE U.S. DAY 2...AS
   A NRN STREAM TROUGH CROSSES -- AND EVENTUALLY VACATES -- THE NERN
   U.S. WHILE A SRN STREAM CLOSED LOW ADVANCES EWD ACROSS THE SWRN
   QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY.  

   WITH A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE -- REPRESENTING A
   CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS -- PREVAILING OVER MUCH OF THE
   COUNTRY...LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER IS EVIDENT.  

   LATE IN THE PERIOD...AS THE UPPER SYSTEM BEGINS TO REACH THE SRN
   HIGH PLAINS...QG ASCENT IS PROGGED TO INCREASE OVER TX.  SOME HINT
   THAT MID-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
   ELEVATED/WEAK CONVECTION EXISTS...AND AS SUCH AN ISOLATED STRIKE OR
   TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS PARTS OF SRN AND CENTRAL TX. 
   HOWEVER...COVERAGE -- IF ANY -- APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN WELL BELOW
   10% THRESHOLD REQUIRED FOR AREAL DELINEATION.

   ..GOSS.. 11/23/2013

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z