Nov 30, 2013 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 30 16:47:53 UTC 2013 (20131130 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20131130 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131130 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20131130 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 301644

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1044 AM CST SAT NOV 30 2013

   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   COOL AND/OR DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS ON SUNDAY 
   WITH NWLY FLOW ALOFT EXTENDING FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDING EWD INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC.
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN AS WELL AS OVER
   THE ERN STATES...ALTHOUGH THIS HIGH WILL WEAKEN AS THE SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH APPROACHES.

   ...ARKLATEX INTO LOWER MS VALLEY LATE...
   THE EXCEPTION TO THE DRY WEATHER WILL BE SUNDAY EVENING AND
   OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH. INCREASING LIFT AND MODEST MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE SW
   WILL RESULT IN WEAK DESTABILIZATION...PROBABLY ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED
   LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN AN EXPANDING REGION OF PRECIPITATION.
   DESPITE STRONG WIND FIELDS...SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY.

   ..JEWELL.. 11/30/2013

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z