Mar 12, 2013 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Mar 12 07:22:47 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130312 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20130312 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 120720
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0220 AM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON THURSDAY. THE MODELS GRADUALLY INCREASE
   MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE TOP OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE DURING THE DAY.
   THIS SHOULD ADVECT COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPS INTO THE NRN ROCKIES
   THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHICH IN TURN SHOULD STEEPEN MID-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES. AS A RESULT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP IN THE NRN
   ROCKIES OR PACIFIC NORTHWEST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
   IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK AT THE TOP OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
   SUGGESTING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL REMAIN VERY ISOLATED PROBABLY
   REMAINING BELOW THE 10 PERCENT THUNDER THRESHOLD.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 03/12/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z