Jan 27, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 27 05:49:33 UTC 2014 (20140127 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140127 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140127 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140127 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140127 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140127 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270545

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1145 PM CST SUN JAN 26 2014

   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY
   WITH THIS FEATURE EMBEDDED IN A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL AND
   ERN CONUS. AT THE SFC...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EWD OUT OF THE
   APPALACHIAN MTNS TO THE ERN SEABOARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. FURTHER TO
   THE SOUTHWEST...THE FRONT WILL ADVANCE QUICKLY SEWD ACROSS THE GULF
   COAST STATES BY LATE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT
   FROM SRN LA EWD TO THE FL PANHANDLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
   EVENING. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK ALONG THE FRONT AND
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE GULF COAST REGION
   TODAY OR TONIGHT.

   ..BROYLES.. 01/27/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z