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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 231611 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1011 AM CST SUN FEB 23 2014 VALID 231630Z - 241200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...FL... STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAIL OVER MOST THE NATION...PRECLUDING THUNDERSTORMS IN MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR THE GULF COAST REGION. HERE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AFFECTING AN AREA FROM SOUTHERN LA INTO NORTH FL. ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE SHIELD OVER NORTHERN FL. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WEAK SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL LIMIT THE EXTENT OF CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION...BUT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO TRANSPORT A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS CURRENTLY OVER CENTRAL/SOUTH FL NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY POSE A RISK OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OR PERHAPS HAIL...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. OTHER ISOLATED STRONG STORMS MAY FORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE...WITH A SIMILAR MARGINAL THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER. ..HART/LEITMAN.. 02/23/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |
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