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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 101602 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1102 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014 VALID 101630Z - 111200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... TWO STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF THE CONUS TODAY...WITH BOTH SYSTEMS POSING SOME RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY. ...NORTHWEST US... WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF ORE/NORTHERN CA. THE ASSOCIATED POCKET OF COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WA/ORE/ID/NV. THIS THREAT SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD. ...TX/LA... A WEAKENING UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD TOWARD SOUTH TX. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING BENEATH THE COLD POOL ALOFT WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS. ..HART/LEITMAN.. 03/10/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z |
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