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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 170039 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0739 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 170100Z - 171200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10 PERCENT ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. ...SYNOPSIS... ISOLATED TO VERY WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE VICINITY OF THE BLACK HILLS...AS WELL AS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN-MOST PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER /TO THE NORTHWEST OF LAREDO/. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS STRONGLY LINKED TO LOCALIZED DESTABILIZATION DRIVEN BY DAYTIME HEATING...AND PROBABLY WILL DIMINISH BY 02-03Z...IF NOT BEFORE. GIVEN THE SPARSE COVERAGE AND ANTICIPATED LIMITED WINDOW FOR CONTINUING DEVELOPMENT...PROBABILITIES FOR THUNDERSTORMS STILL APPEAR BELOW THE MINIMUM 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR A CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM AREA. ..KERR.. 04/17/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |
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