Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
2 %
8,875
210,715
St. Joseph, MO...Beatrice, NE...Atchison, KS...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
140,723
10,876,714
Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Wichita, KS...St. Louis, MO...Lincoln, NE...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
141,186
10,891,162
Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Wichita, KS...St. Louis, MO...Lincoln, NE...
SPC AC 070048
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT WED AUG 06 2014
VALID 070100Z - 071200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS AND MISSOURI VALLEY TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS AND
HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
...CENTRAL PLAINS TO SE MO...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE 5 PERCENT HAIL AND WIND AND 2
PERCENT TORNADO AREAS BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND HI-RES MODEL
GUIDANCE. THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH A
FEW STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN A WAA REGIME.
HOWEVER...GENERALLY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND WEAKENING
INSTABILITY/BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION WILL LIMIT OVERALL
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY.
..LEITMAN.. 08/07/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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