Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 200102
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A MARGINALLY SEVERE STORM OR TWO -- WITH ASSOCIATED RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL -- WILL PERSIST FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS
ACROSS THE INDIANA AND OHIO VICINITY. A SEVERE STORM OR TWO MAY
ALSO OCCUR FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AREA EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY.
...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION...
BANDS OF STRONG STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE INDIANA/OH
VICINITY ATTM...THROUGH AN AIRMASS FEATURING MODEST INSTABILITY AND
MARGINAL SHEAR. WHILE A LIMITED RISK FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL/WIND PERSISTS WITHIN THE STRONGEST CELLS...OVERALL STORM
INTENSITY SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.
...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/MID MO VALLEY AREA...
A FEW CLUSTERS OF STRONG STORMS ARE ONGOING IN THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS VICINITY ATTM...SPREADING GRADUALLY EWD/NEWD. SOME RISK FOR
AN ISOLATED/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND/OR WIND EVENT REMAINS ACROSS
THIS AREA. LATER...ELEVATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN A ZONE OF WARM
ADVECTION ACROSS THE MID MO VALLEY REGION -- AS A SLY LOW-LEVEL JET
AND ASSOCIATED ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION INCREASE. AN
ISOLATED/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL OCCURRENCE WITH A STRONGER CELL
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
..GOSS.. 08/20/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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