Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 090058
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 PM CST SAT NOV 08 2014
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...EXCEPT FOR THE
ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS...AND IN THE
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO BASIN.
...FL...
MOISTURE-CHANNEL IMAGERY INDICATED A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD
THROUGH THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO /230 SM SOUTH OF BVE/ AT
00Z...WITH A SECOND TROUGH DIGGING SEWD THROUGH EAST TX. THE LATTER
TROUGH SHOULD REACH THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO THE NWRN GULF BY 12Z
SUNDAY...WHILE THE LEAD TROUGH PROCEEDS NEWD REACHING NRN FL AND
SERN GA. WEAKER MIDLEVEL IMPULSES SHOULD MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FL
TONIGHT...WITH A PORTION OF THESE FEATURES APPEARING TO EMANATE FROM
A STREAM OF MOISTURE IN THE ERN PACIFIC SPREADING ACROSS SRN MEXICO
AND THE SRN GULF BASIN.
WEAK FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SHOWERS ACROSS THE
FL PENINSULA THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE CURRENT LACK OF LIGHTNING
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO CONFIRMS THE EXISTENCE OF POOR MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES AS INDICATED IN THE 00Z SOUNDINGS ACROSS FL. WHILE
TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS LAND...MODELS DO SUGGEST TSTMS ARE
POSSIBLE OFFSHORE IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF FL AND GA LATER
TONIGHT AND IN THE SERN GULF BASIN NEAR A SLOW SWD-MOVING FRONT.
THIS TSTM PROBABILITY WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE SPC ENHANCED TSTM
OUTLOOK.
..PETERS.. 11/09/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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