Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 020544
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST MON DEC 01 2014
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY. RAIN AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF CALIFORNIA. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
CANADA AND THE ADJACENT NRN U.S./GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
PERIOD...WHILE A WEAKENING UPPER LOW MAKES EWD PROGRESS ACROSS THE
ERN PACIFIC -- AFFECTING THE W COAST REGION.
AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT LINGERING OVER THE SERN U.S. IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN/WASH OUT WITH TIME...WHILE LOW-LEVEL ELY FLOW
PREVAILS ACROSS FL AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE W...A WARM FRONT
IS FORECAST TO SHIFT NWD ACROSS THE CA/NV VICINITY...AS A WEAKENING
LOW REMAINS OFFSHORE.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
COUNTRY...AS COOL CONTINENTAL AIR PREVAILS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE
ACROSS THE CA VICINITY AS THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW APPROACHES...ALLOWING
WEAK DESTABILIZATION/STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO SPREAD INLAND.
MEANWHILE...SHOWERS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY OCCUR
OVER PORTIONS OF FL WITHIN THE ELY FLOW REGIME...AS WEAK AFTERNOON
DESTABILIZATION OCCURS. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED CONUS-WIDE.
..GOSS.. 12/02/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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