Dec 20, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Dec 20 00:37:18 UTC 2014 (20141220 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20141220 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20141220 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20141220 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20141220 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20141220 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 200037

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0637 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2014

   VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER 48 STATES TONIGHT.

   ...CNTRL GULF COAST...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER ADJACENT PORTIONS OF AR/OK/TX THIS
   EVENING WILL WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ENEWD TO THE TN VALLEY
   AND SRN APPALACHIANS BY SATURDAY MORNING.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
   LEADING TO GENERALLY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL INFLUENCE MUCH OF THE
   AREA E OF THE ROCKIES.  THE EXCEPTION WILL BE A LIGHT RAIN SHIELD
   OVER THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT.  APPRECIABLE BUOYANCY WILL
   LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE THE CNTRL GULF COAST AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   NOT FORECAST FOR TONIGHT.

   ..SMITH.. 12/20/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z