Mar 6, 2014 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 6 06:02:35 UTC 2014 (20140306 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20140306 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140306 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20140306 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060539

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1139 PM CST WED MAR 05 2014

   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   IN THE MID LEVELS...A DEEP CYCLONE AND ATTENDANT SFC LOW WILL LIFT
   NEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST.
   STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT WITHIN THE CYCLONE-PRECEDING WARM CONVEYOR
   IS FORECAST TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A PLUME OF MARGINAL ELEVATED
   BUOYANCY GRAZING THE NC COAST AND VICINITY DURING THE DAY. THIS MAY
   SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
   SEVERE.

   ELSEWHERE...A MULTI-STREAM MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL PREVAIL WHILE
   A VORT MAX PROGRESSES SEWD OVER THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN AND CNTRL
   ROCKIES. THE COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH
   DCVA/ASCENT PRECEDING THE VORT MAX...DIURNALLY ENHANCED SFC HEATING
   AND OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS...AND MODEST MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
   BUOYANCY COULD SUPPORT A FEW NON-SEVERE STORMS FROM CNTRL CO INTO
   N-CNTRL NM.

   ..COHEN.. 03/06/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z