SPC AC 040533

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1233 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2014

   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
   TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT...AS WELL ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER
   OHIO RIVER VALLEYS.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER ONTARIO WITH BROAD BELT
   OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT FROM THE PLAINS EWD TO THE WRN ATLANTIC.
   MEANWHILE...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE SITUATED ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST.

   AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SERN STATES WILL
   MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS THERE BUT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN NWD
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A STRENGTHENING
   SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. WITH
   TIME...INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM TX NEWD INTO THE
   LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

   ...NRN TX NEWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...
   A SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS WHICH WILL BRING HIGHER THETA-E AIR NWD. COOL TEMPERATURE
   PROFILES ALOFT WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER NRN TX AND NEWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY
   WHERE A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY WILL EXIST. VERY COLD
   TEMPERATURES ALOFT OVER THE OH VALLEY WILL FAVOR SMALL HAIL...BUT
   PERHAPS NOT SEVERE. A HIGHER CONDITIONAL THREAT OF HAIL WILL EXIST
   OVER NRN TX...BUT PREDICTABILITY OF SUCH A SMALL AREA IS LOW.

   ..JEWELL.. 10/04/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z