SPC AC 281636

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1136 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2014

   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST PRIMARILY OVER THE CAROLINAS AND
   THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN ERN U.S. LARGER-SCALE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL FEATURE A
   SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE MOVING NEWD ACROSS QUEBEC TO THE ST LAWRENCE
   SEAWAY WHILE AN UPSTREAM IMPULSE MOVES FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO
   THE CNTRL-SRN APPALACHIANS AFTER DARK.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD
   ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND CNTRL GULF COAST STATES AND ISOLATED
   SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOCUS NEAR THE FRONT.  DESPITE
   MODERATE WLY TO STRONG SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MOVING THROUGH THE BASE
   OF THE TROUGH OVER THE SERN U.S...MEAGER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
   MARGINAL MOISTURE WILL LIMIT BUOYANCY TO A FEW HUNDRED J/KG AND
   LIKELY STUNT UPDRAFT INTENSITY.  AS A RESULT...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE MINIMAL AND PRECLUDE LOW SEVERE
   PROBABILITIES.

   ..SMITH.. 10/28/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z