SPC AC 050715
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 AM CDT TUE AUG 05 2014
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE
COUNTRY FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
...SYNOPSIS...
TRANSITORY SHORT WAVES WILL PROGRESS...WITHIN WEAK FLOW REGIME FROM
WEST TO EAST...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CONUS DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD.
EACH OF THESE FEATURES WILL LIKELY INDUCE SCT THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY...AS CINH IS NOT EXPECTED TO
BE PARTICULARLY STRONG.
STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO ENHANCED
INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE WEST. WITH
RELATIVELY COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FROM CO NWD INTO MT
A RATHER ACTIVE CONVECTIVE DAY SHOULD BE NOTED.
ANOTHER AREA WHERE CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
WILL EXTEND ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE SERN
U.S. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SUGGEST MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE RATHER
WEAK AND THIS DOES NOT LEND CONFIDENCE IN ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS DESPITE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK SHORT WAVE.
..DARROW.. 08/05/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z
|