Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 181626
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CST SUN JAN 18 2015
VALID 181630Z - 191200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA AND WASHINGTON COASTS.
...NC...
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE BAND OF CONVECTION AFFECTING EASTERN NC WILL
BE OFFSHORE BY ABOUT 19Z. IN THE MEANTIME...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT FAR EASTERN NC AND THE OUTER BANKS REGION.
DESPITE STRONG WIND FIELDS...WEAK LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY SUGGESTS
THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS BELOW MARGINAL THRESHOLDS.
...WA...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE OCCURRED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS OFF/ALONG THE WA COAST...AND OVER SOUTHWEST BRITISH COLUMBIA.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN WA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...WHEN
THE TROUGH AXIS AND LARGE-SCALE SUPPORT PASSES EAST OF THE REGION.
SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS...BUT NO SEVERE
WEATHER IS FORECAST TODAY.
..HART.. 01/18/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
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