Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030046
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CST MON FEB 02 2015
VALID 030100Z - 031200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
APPRECIABLE THUNDER RISK IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE COUNTRY THROUGH
THE END OF THE PERIOD.
...DISCUSSION...
AS A STRONG UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SHIFTS OUT OF THE NERN U.S. INTO
THE WRN ATLANTIC/CANADIAN MARITIMES...AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO VACATE THE CONUS. WHILE THE FRONT CONTINUES TO
LINGER ACROSS S FL ATTM...IT IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE STATE
OVERNIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS DEEP S TX E OF
A GULF OF CA UPPER LOW...WHILE FARTHER W SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE
ACROSS THE NWRN QUARTER OF THE COUNTRY AS A BAND OF FAST WLY FLOW
ALOFT PERSISTS ACROSS THE REGION.
ASIDE FROM A COUPLE OF STRAY LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS THE NRN CA
VICINITY...LACK OF CAPE PRECLUDES APPRECIABLE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
..GOSS.. 02/03/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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