Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 200029
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0629 PM CST THU FEB 19 2015
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSES AND 00Z BRO/CRP SOUNDINGS SHOWED A
NARROW CORRIDOR OF A PARTIALLY MODIFIED CP AIR MASS RETURNING
POLEWARD FROM THE FAR WRN GULF OF MEXICO INTO SRN TX. THIS MOISTURE
IS EVIDENT IN THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH THE DETECTION OF
SOME CONVECTIVE CLOUDS EXTENDING INLAND TO THE SRN AND CENTRAL TX
COASTAL PLAINS. A CAP INDICATED IN THE SOUNDINGS ATOP THE
MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT
OF DEEPER CONVECTION FOR TSTMS THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
ELSEWHERE...TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF DRY AND
STABLE CONDITIONS.
..PETERS.. 02/20/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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