Mar 19, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 19 00:48:49 UTC 2015 (20150319 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150319 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150319 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20150319 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20150319 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20150319 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 190048

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0748 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2015

   VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY INTO ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL
   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
   PARTS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES.

   ...01Z UPDATE...

   A STRONG WIND GUST OR A FEW CLICKS OF SMALL HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR
   A COUPLE MORE HOURS WITH ANY STRONGER STORM ACROSS MS. BASED ON THE
   JAN 00Z RAOB...MEAGER INSTABILITY AND LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL
   LIMIT ANY VIGOROUS CONVECTION AND SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
   THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 

   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO WILL CONTINUE FOR A
   FEW MORE HOURS ACROSS SOUTHERN CA INTO AZ.

   ..LEITMAN.. 03/19/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z