Salina, KS...Manhattan, KS...Castle Rock, CO...Ken Caryl, CO...Kearney, NE...
2 %
52,562
2,478,458
Omaha, NE...Colorado Springs, CO...Lincoln, NE...Topeka, KS...St. Joseph, MO...
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
30 %
48,605
628,732
Manhattan, KS...Grand Island, NE...Kearney, NE...North Platte, NE...Hastings, NE...
15 %
142,340
6,705,147
Denver, CO...Omaha, NE...Colorado Springs, CO...Aurora, CO...Lincoln, NE...
5 %
261,158
10,371,917
Jacksonville, FL...Kansas City, MO...Wichita, KS...Salt Lake City, UT...Overland Park, KS...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Omaha, NE...Colorado Springs, CO...Lincoln, NE...Topeka, KS...St. Joseph, MO...
5 %
150,334
5,813,331
Kansas City, MO...Wichita, KS...Overland Park, KS...Kansas City, KS...Olathe, KS...
SPC AC 040105
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2015
VALID 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN WY AND NERN CO ESEWD
ACROSS SRN NEB/NRN KS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WY/CO ESEWD TO THE MID MO
VALLEY...
...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE
INTERMOUNTAIN W EWD ACROSS THE MID MO VALLEY...
...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN
STATES...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE STORMS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE
OVER PARTS OF COLORADO AND WYOMING AND INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF KANSAS THIS EVENING. OTHER MORE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER SURROUNDING LOCATIONS FROM THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY. FINALLY...A STRONG STORM
OR TWO MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST.
...CENTRAL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE KS/NEB VICINITY...
STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF S CENTRAL MT SEWD
ACROSS WY INTO NERN CO...WHILE OTHER STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE
TO EVOLVE OVER THE CENTRAL KS VICINITY. WITH LOW-LEVEL SELYS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL/NRN HIGH PLAINS BENEATH MODERATE MID-LEVEL SWLYS...SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS -- AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE RISK -- REMAINS IN
PLACE. WITH AMPLE CAPE ALSO NOTED...RISK FOR HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ALONG WITH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
EVENING ACROSS THIS REGION -- WHERE TORNADO WATCH 251 REMAINS IN
EFFECT.
FARTHER E/SE INTO THE KS VICINITY...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING
INVOF VARIOUS LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARIES EVIDENT IN SURFACE ANALYSIS AND
VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP. WHILE WEAKER SHEAR IS EVIDENT ACROSS THIS
REGION AS COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER W...A MORE STRONGLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IN PLACE /MIXED-LAYER CAPE IN THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE/
WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED INCREASE IN CONVECTION. EVENTUAL UPSCALE
GROWTH INTO AN MCS MAY OCCUR LATER THIS EVENING...PERHAPS AS STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SPREAD ESEWD AND MERGE WITH ONGOING
KS STORMS. AS A RESULT...HAIL/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK COULD
TRANSITION TO INCLUDE A SOMEWHAT MORE WIDESPREAD RISK FOR DAMAGING
WINDS.
..GOSS.. 06/04/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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