Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 241909
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2015
VALID 242000Z - 251200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...SYNOPSIS...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.
..DARROW.. 09/24/2015
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1124 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2015/
...CENTRAL STATES...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES TODAY. WEAK SHEAR AND
LIMITED HEATING OVER MANY AREAS WILL PRECLUDE ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS TODAY.
...SOUTHEAST STATES...
OTHER THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES.
LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING
STORMS...BUT WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT
SEVERE RISK.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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