Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 080051
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CST SAT NOV 07 2015
VALID 080100Z - 081200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.
...DISCUSSION...
AN ERN U.S. UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ADVANCING STEADILY
EWD...SHIFTING OFFSHORE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. AS THIS
OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE CAROLINAS SWWD
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND INTO THE CENTRAL GULF WILL PROGRESS
GRADUALLY SEWD THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
ELSEWHERE...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE PAC NW COAST
OVERNIGHT...WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY
ACROSS WA/ORE. BETWEEN THIS FRONT AND THE SERN U.S. BOUNDARY...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THE REST OF THE PERIOD. A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING IN LEE OF THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST NEAR AND S
OF THE SERN U.S. COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...MEAGER CAPE SUGGESTS
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WEAK.
..GOSS.. 11/08/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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