Nov 25, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 25 00:59:50 UTC 2015 (20151125 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20151125 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151125 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20151125 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20151125 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20151125 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 250059

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0659 PM CST TUE NOV 24 2015

   VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

   ...COASTAL NRN CA...
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALONG THE SWRN ORE/NWRN CA BORDER WILL SHIFT INTO
   NWRN NV TONIGHT. COLD-CORE PORTION OF THIS TROUGH WILL DROP S ALONG
   THE NRN CA COAST...STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES FROM VERY POOR
   VALUES OF AROUND 2.5 DEG C/KM FROM 700-500 MB IN 00Z OAK RAOB. WHILE
   SCATTERED LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS SHOULD PREDOMINANTLY FAIL TO REACH
   SUFFICIENT DEPTH FOR CHARGE SEPARATION...A COUPLE TSTMS MIGHT OCCUR
   TONIGHT.

   ..GRAMS.. 11/25/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z