Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 281237
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015
VALID 281300Z - 291200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SUSTAINED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS
UNITED STATES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE LARGER-SCALE PATTERN TODAY AS A
BROAD CLOSED LOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE GREAT BASIN...AND A SURFACE
FRONT DRIFTS SEWD AND SLOWLY WEAKENS WITH TIME FROM THE MID SOUTH TO
THE TX COAST. A BAND OF PRECIPITATION WILL LIKEWISE PERSIST FROM
THE SRN PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY. HOWEVER...BUOYANCY HAS BECOME
QUITE MARGINAL ABOVE THE FRONTAL SURFACE AS A RESULT OF WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL AND THE LACK OF A STEEPER LAPSE RATE SOURCE REGION. THOUGH
VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES COULD OCCUR LATE TONIGHT ACROSS SW
TX...THE OVERALL RISK FOR ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE TOO
LIMITED TO WARRANT A THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK AREA.
..THOMPSON/LEITMAN.. 11/28/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
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