Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 281941
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0141 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2015
VALID 282000Z - 291200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
...SYNOPSIS...
NO CHANGES TO THE OUTLOOK. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.
..ROGERS.. 11/28/2015
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0946 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015/
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY NEWD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST TODAY AS SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES EWD TO THE
SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. AT THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE FROM
THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS EWD TO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. ALTHOUGH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT IN THE
LOWER MS VALLEY...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED THERE DUE TO
LIMITED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND WEAK INSTABILITY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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