Nov 29, 2015 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Nov 29 12:30:50 UTC 2015 (20151129 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20151129 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151129 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20151129 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20151129 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20151129 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 291230

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0630 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

   VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY ACROSS THE UNITED STATES TODAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A CLOSED LOW CENTERED OVER UT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EWD TOWARD THE
   CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS AS A SPEED MAX OVER CA ROTATES EWD
   AROUND THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW.  A RESIDUAL COLD AIR MASS WILL
   INHIBIT DOWNSTREAM CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE PLAINS...WHILE LIMITED
   MOISTURE AND/OR POOR MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL KEEP BUOYANCY AND THE
   RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEGLIGIBLE.

   ..THOMPSON.. 11/29/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z