Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 300539
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1139 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
WHILE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WITHIN A BROADER AREA
OF RAIN...COVERAGE OF ANY SUCH ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SPARSE.
...LOWER MS THROUGH THE TN VALLEY...
ZONE OF GREATER ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH
THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS MONDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MIGRATORY
SWLY LLJ. THE RESULTING LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION AND MODEST
/6-6.5 C/KM/ MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY WEAK
INSTABILITY /MUCAPE AOB 200 J/KG/ IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER. AREAS OF
MOSTLY ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL REMAIN LIKELY WITHIN THIS BELT OF
ASCENT AND WEAK CAPE. WHILE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT WITH THIS ACTIVITY...COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN
10%.
..DIAL/GLEASON.. 11/30/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
| 
)
