Dec 8, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Dec 8 00:50:02 UTC 2015 (20151208 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20151208 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151208 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20151208 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20151208 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20151208 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080050

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0650 PM CST MON DEC 07 2015

   VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN MINIMAL ACROSS THE CONUS THE REST
   OF TONIGHT.

   ...DISCUSSION...

   PRIMARY FOCUS FOR CONVECTION HAS DRIFTED SOUTH OF THE FL
   PENINSULA...ACROSS THE STRAITS...TOWARD THE NRN CUBAN COAST.  ANY
   STORMS THAT FORM WILL BE WELL SOUTH OF FL TONIGHT.

   ISOLATED LIGHTNING HAS BEEN NOTED WITHIN BROADER ZONE OF FRONTAL
   CONVECTION ACROSS SERN WA.  WHILE A STRIKE OR TWO MAY YET ACCOMPANY
   THIS ACTIVITY AS IT SPREADS INTO NRN ID IT APPEARS THREAT OF TSTMS
   IS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK ACROSS THIS
   REGION.

   ..DARROW.. 12/08/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z